Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAN-YI-18 Off-shore from 19 Nov 2018 18:00 UTC to 25 Nov 2018 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-18

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (27 Nov 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 51000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Nov 2018 18:00	185	120 thousand	1 thousand	Guam
2	20 Nov 2018 00:00	176	220 thousand	No people	Guam
3	20 Nov 2018 06:00	176	220 thousand	No people	Guam
4	20 Nov 2018 12:00	185	210 thousand	No people	Guam
5	20 Nov 2018 18:00	194	210 thousand	Few people	Guam
6	21 Nov 2018 00:00	176	210 thousand	No people	Guam
7	21 Nov 2018 06:00	176	210 thousand	No people	Guam
8	21 Nov 2018 12:00	157	50 thousand	No people
9	21 Nov 2018 18:00	176	50 thousand	No people
10	22 Nov 2018 00:00	176	50 thousand	No people
11	22 Nov 2018 06:00	176	50 thousand	No people
12	22 Nov 2018 12:00	167	50 thousand	No people
13	22 Nov 2018 18:00	167	50 thousand	No people
14	23 Nov 2018 00:00	167	50 thousand	No people
15	23 Nov 2018 06:00	167	50 thousand	No people
16	23 Nov 2018 12:00	157	50 thousand	No people
17	23 Nov 2018 18:00	167	50 thousand	No people
18	24 Nov 2018 00:00	148	50 thousand	No people
19	24 Nov 2018 06:00	139	50 thousand	No people
20	24 Nov 2018 12:00	148	50 thousand	No people
21	24 Nov 2018 18:00	148	50 thousand	No people
22	25 Nov 2018 00:00	148	50 thousand	No people
23	25 Nov 2018 06:00	148	50 thousand	No people
24	25 Nov 2018 12:00	139	50 thousand	No people
25	25 Nov 2018 18:00	111	50 thousand	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	19 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	3700 people	4.4, 156.6
2	20 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	40000 people	4.8, 155.6
3	20 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	4400 people	4.6, 154.9
4	20 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	49000 people	4.8, 154.2
5	20 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	<1000 people	50000 people	6, 152.6
6	21 Nov 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	<1000 people	49000 people	6.7, 151
7	21 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4000 people	7.6, 149.1
8	21 Nov 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1300 people	8.7, 146.9
9	21 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	9.6, 143.9
10	22 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	2900 people	10.6, 141.8
11	22 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	11.8, 139.7
12	22 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13, 138.3
13	22 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	13.8, 137.3
14	23 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	14.5, 136.5
15	23 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	15.4, 135.6
16	23 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	16.6, 135.4
17	23 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.6, 135.3
18	24 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18, 135.4
19	24 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.2, 135.6
20	24 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.5, 136.2
21	24 Nov 2018 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.7, 136.4
22	25 Nov 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.3, 136
23	25 Nov 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.2, 135.7
24	25 Nov 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.5, 135
25	25 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	18.9, 133.9
25	26 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.2, 132.4
25	26 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	21.6, 131.9
25	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	22.9, 132
25	27 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	23.8, 132.5
25	28 Nov 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.3, 137.3

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Ulithi	ULI	2				0
Truk International	TKK	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Okino		Japan
Fais		Micronesia
Woleai Atoll		Micronesia
Moen		Micronesia

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Dinggang, China. This height is estimated for 27 Nov 2018 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (159 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 25 of 25 Nov 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Dinggang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Ancheng	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Chang-chia-li	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Hsi-hui-tsui	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Ch'ien-ni	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Chengpu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Songxia	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 11:00	Heng-pa-ts'un	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Taipingzha	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Feng-p'u-ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Ch'iu-wang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Ch'ing-shui-hu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Hsieh-fu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Wantang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Chu-ch'iao-chen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Hsieh-t'ang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Linshan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Zhenhai	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Dingqiao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Chaoyang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Chiu-hsiang-chen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Huangwan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Ganpu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Chou-hung-ch'iu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Hsiung-ting-yu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Jiangjia	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Hsiao-an-chieh	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Ch'ai-ch'iao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Hsin-p'u	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Changchuanba	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Ligang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Ganlan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Shigaotang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Beiqigen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Beilungang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Daniwan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Xiaoli'ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Nan'ao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Ch'en-chia-lu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Dongsha	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Cheng-chia-tai	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Gaoting	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Nanfeng	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Zhapu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Niu-ch'iao-shih	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Hsing-hsing-chen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Hepu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Chiu-nan-t'ien	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Lingmen	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Aohuan	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Shihphu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Dinghai	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Jinxiang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Dalu	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Gexiang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chung-tse	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chou-chia-peng	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Jinshanwei	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chin-shan-tsui	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Shanyang	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Caojing	China	0.2
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	P'u-t'o	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chiao-t'ou	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Da'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Sansha	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Guoju	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Chin-ch'ing	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Hsiao-yang-k'ou	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Huangang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Changtu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Beilong	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Songmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Danmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 20:00	Changchun	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 20:00	Luxia	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Huang-ch'i	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Shacheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Pucheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Banping	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 19:00	Chenyu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Yacheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Donggangcun	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	San-chia-shih	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Bailonggang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Gongjialu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Che-lin	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Liu-tsao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Shih-t'ang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Hanjiang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Songcheng	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 20:00	Da'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Wuqu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	I-shan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Touyan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 16:00	Bei'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 21:00	Kanmen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Qiancang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 10:00	Haiyanzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Xianxiang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Zhuxi	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	T'ai-an-chen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Daxingzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Nanqinghe	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Lingdianzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 12:00	Beixingzhen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Yangyuan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Gaodong	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Gulu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Dongxing	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Qianwei	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Yuansha	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Fumin	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Hsin-min	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Nanbu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Liulishe	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Litang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Ta-ch'u	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Huanshan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Xiabu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Zhuangyuanqiao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 03:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 06:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Beikan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Chung-ch'i	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	San-hsing	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	T'ai-hsi	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Chumen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Youcheqiao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	San-chiao-t'ang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Sanshan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 09:00	Dongtaihezha	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Luomen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Ta-chan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	T'ien-hou-kung	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Nan 'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Tiantu	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Bianjiao'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 22:00	Guan'ao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Fangang	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Longwan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Siqianjie	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Xiaodoumen	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Jiangtan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 05:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 15:00	Hsin-chiang	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Hsia-lun	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Sa-ti	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Hai-kou	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Sha-shan	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 14:00	Wang-kung	Taiwan	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 18:00	Shiqiao	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 18:00	Hsu-p'u	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Xizhoushi	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 17:00	Da'an	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 23:00	Dituan	China	0.1
	27 Nov 2018 13:00	Shangpan	China	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.